Ok, here is the Scenario:
Space Marine Dreadnought
Outfit A - Multimelta/Heavy Flamer
Outfit B - Assault Cannon/Heavy Flamer
Will be landing via Drop Pod, looking to at a minimum glance a AV12 or less on deployment.
My argument falls with the MultiMelta, because of the strength as opposed to the multi-shot/rending from the Assault Cannon.
I am pretty decent at math, but I will probably screw this up, so let me know any errors I make.
3 Games, 3 Drops.
Assault Cannon - Heavy 4
Giving a total of 12 shots over the course of the whole tournament.
With a BS4 that is 66.67% of hitting.
So that is 7.92 shots hitting over the course of the day.
Needing a 6 (16.66% on a D6) to glance/penetrate.
That leaves 1.31 shots that glance/penetrate.
Multimelta - Heavy 1
4 Shots over the day.
Same as above for hit percentage.
Total of 2.66 shots hitting the target.
With a STR8 will need a 4 on 2D6 to glance. (with the drop pod I will assume I wont scatter out of the 12" Melta range.)
Here is where my math gets shady because of the 2D6, thinking its a 75% to get a Glancing hit and a 66.67% to get a penetration.
That is 1.99 shots that glance and 1.77 shots that penetrate
+ the Multimelta gets the extra 1 for damage.
Just really looking for someone to correct my math if there is any need to. I just want to pop a Rhino, Chimera, etc or stun a bigger tank Leman Russ, Preadator, etc for one round of shooting till I can possibly get to it in h-t-h.
Thanks in advance for any responses...
...is dead to me